LIVE ANALYSIS
WEX
WEX Inc.
PRICE
$154.76
CHANGE
-16.3%
CAP
$5.4B
SECTOR
Technology
SCORE
61/100
SCROLL TO EXPLORE
DISLOCATION DETECTED — EARNINGS MISS — QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS — DISLOCATION DETECTED — EARNINGS MISS — QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS — DISLOCATION DETECTED — EARNINGS MISS — QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS —
01 — TRIGGER EVENT
0%
Earnings Miss

Low Dislocation

SECTOR
Technology
MARKET CAP
$5.4B
VOLUME
3.8x avg
CAUSALITY FLAGS
OVERREACTION: 16.3% drop vs 1.4% miss (ratio: 11.8x - drop appears disproportionate)
QUANTITATIVE SCREENING — ANOMALY DETECTION — FUNDAMENTAL SCORING — QUANTITATIVE SCREENING — ANOMALY DETECTION — FUNDAMENTAL SCORING — QUANTITATIVE SCREENING — ANOMALY DETECTION — FUNDAMENTAL SCORING —
0 /100

How we score a dislocation.

Every price drop is scored 0–100 by comparing the magnitude of the decline against the company's underlying fundamentals. The score weights multiple factors including DCF gap, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, and sector-relative valuation.

SCORE COMPONENTS
Drop Severity 0/15
Magnitude and speed of the price decline
Volume Spike 0/10
Unusual trading volume relative to average
Revenue Quality 0/15
Revenue growth trajectory and stability
Balance Sheet 0/15
Liquidity, leverage, and cash runway
Margin Profile 0/10
Operating and net margin vs sector peers
ROIC Quality 0/10
Return on invested capital efficiency
DCF Gap 0/20
Distance between market price and DCF fair value
Social Momentum 0/5
Retail sentiment from StockTwits, Reddit, and news
03 — WACC MODEL

The discount rate.

WACC determines how we discount future cash flows back to present value. A higher WACC means future money is worth less today — critical for companies where cash flows are years away.

FORMULA
WACC = (E/V × Re) + (D/V × Rd × (1 - Tc))
RISK-FREE RATE
4.5%
10Y US Treasury yield
BETA (β)
0.76
Relevered stock volatility vs market
EQUITY RISK PREMIUM
5.5%
Expected excess return over risk-free
COST OF EQUITY
8.7%
CAPM: Rf + β × ERP
COST OF DEBT
3.6%
After-tax borrowing cost
EQUITY WEIGHT
20%
Capital structure weighting
4.6%
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Used to discount all future cash flows to present value
DCF VALUATION — INTRINSIC VALUE — BEAR / BASE / BULL — DCF VALUATION — INTRINSIC VALUE — BEAR / BASE / BULL — DCF VALUATION — INTRINSIC VALUE — BEAR / BASE / BULL —
04 — DCF VALUATION

The intrinsic value.

We discount projected future cash flows back to present value using our WACC model. Three scenarios — bear, base, and bull — give a range of fair value estimates.

BEAR CASE
$0
Worst-case scenario. Maximum downside risk if fundamentals deteriorate further.
BASE CASE
$0
Most probable outcome based on current trajectory and consensus estimates.
BULL CASE
$0
Best-case scenario with multiple catalysts firing and execution exceeding expectations.
0%
Implied upside to base case
Current $154.76 → Base $421.06
BALANCE SHEET CHECK — LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS — LEVERAGE ASSESSMENT — BALANCE SHEET CHECK — LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS — LEVERAGE ASSESSMENT — BALANCE SHEET CHECK — LIQUIDITY ANALYSIS — LEVERAGE ASSESSMENT —
05 — FUNDAMENTALS CHECK

Can it survive?

Before any alert goes out, KEEL runs a full health check. If the balance sheet can't support survival through the downturn, it's not an opportunity — it's a trap.

▲
VOLUME MULT
0
Trading intensity
Current volume vs 20-day average. Higher = more attention.
◎
WACC
0
Discount rate
Weighted average cost of capital used for DCF discounting.
◇
DAILY DROP
0
Price decline
Magnitude of today's price drop that triggered the alert.
◉
SCORE
0
Dislocation score
Composite score weighting drop severity, fundamentals, and valuation gap.
EVERY TRADING DAY — 8,000+ EQUITIES — AUTONOMOUS RESEARCH — EVERY TRADING DAY — 8,000+ EQUITIES — AUTONOMOUS RESEARCH — EVERY TRADING DAY — 8,000+ EQUITIES — AUTONOMOUS RESEARCH —

This runs every
trading day.

Autonomous screening. DCF modelling. Delivered before market open.

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